Abstract:

This paper uses the Malmquist-Luenberger DEA model to construct the export performance index under the constraint of carbon emission, which is decomposed into technical efficiency and technological progress index. The performance of the embodied carbon emissions of the agricultural export trade in China from 2001 to 2013 is evaluated. The results show that the fluctuation of embodied carbon emissions of agricultural products in China during the sample period is obvious and the increase rate is moderate,with a cumulative increase of 6%. The carbon performance in China is the highest in the eastern regions, followed by the northeastern regions, and the lowest in the central and western regions. The impacts of such factors as export trade openness and factor endowment structure are positive, but the economic development, energy intensity and the scale of export enterprises have negative effects.

Key words: Agricultural Products, Export, Embodied Carbon Emissions, Performance

摘要：

本文利用Malmquist-Luenberger的DEA模型构建碳排放约束下出口绩效指数,并将其分解为技术效率和技术进步指数,对中国28个省2001~2013年农产品出口贸易隐含碳排放绩效进行评估,并就影响因素展开分析。研究结果表明,我国出口农产品隐含碳排放绩效起伏变化较明显,上升幅度不大;全国范围内地区出口农产品隐含碳排放绩效差异较大,东部沿海经济发达省区农产品出口隐含碳排放绩效值高,而中西部地区受地形和农业科技水平的限制,农产品出口隐含碳排放绩效值较低;出口开放度、要素禀赋结构对隐含碳排放绩效的影响为正,经济发展水平、能源消耗强度和出口企业规模的影响为负。

关键词: 农产品, 出口贸易, 隐含碳排放, 绩效