Abstract: 　　　This paper chooses the panel data of six major toys trade partners from 1996 to 2010 in China, and uses individual fixed effect variable intercept model to analyze the real impact on China's toy exports. The result shows that the green trade barriers have significant negative effects on China's toy exports under the control of the trade partners' domestic demand, bilateral real exchange rate, China's domestic product standard, the export tax rebate rate, and other important variables. According to the empirical conclusions, the paper proposes some relevant suggestions to avoid green trade barriers and to maintain and develop the comparative advantage of toy product.

摘要： 本文采用1996-2010年中国与六个主要玩具贸易伙伴国的面板数据，运用个体固定效应变截距模型实证分析了绿色贸易壁垒对中国玩具产品出口的影响。结果表明，在控制贸易伙伴国的国内需求、双边实际汇率、中国国内产品标准以及出口退税率等重要变量的条件下，伙伴国的绿色贸易壁垒对中国玩具出口产生了显著的负向影响。最后根据研究结论提出了中国规避绿色贸易壁垒，以继续保持和发挥玩具产品比较优势的针对性建议。