Abstract: Abstract: According to the basic theory of decoupling and recoupling, this paper analyzed the "decoupling" and "recoupling" change trajectory between china’s transportation carbon emissions and traffic economy growth during the period of 1995-2012. Further, this paper analyzed the driving factors by decomposing the transportation carbon emissions with LMDI method, exploring the responsive relations and deep-seated reasons between china’s transportation carbon emissions and traffic economy growth. Results show that the overall decoupling effect is not strong, with "weak decoupling" and "expansionary recoupling".Among all the driving factors, the effect of traffic economy development is the largest, much greater than that of transportation energy efficiency and emission reduction technology.

摘要： 摘 要：利用“脱钩”、“复钩”的理论与测度方法，分析1995-2012年我国交通碳排放与行业经济增长之间“脱钩”、“复钩”的变化轨迹，并进一步运用对数平均的Divisa指数（LMDI）分解法，对交通业经济增长中的碳排放复钩效应进行驱动因子分解，探究我国交通业经济增长与碳排放的响应关系及其深层次原因。结果表明，交通碳排放与行业经济增长整体上脱钩效应不强，“弱脱钩”和“扩张性复钩”是二者响应关系的主要特征；在驱动交通碳排放复钩的因子中，交通发展规模的效应最大，其作用远大于技术提高所带来的交通节能及减排效应。