Abstract: Based on the sample of 1979-2010 years, vector auto regression model of energy consumption, technological progress and economic growth is established. The dynamic relationships between them are empirically analyzed using the econometric method of the cointegration test, Granger causality test, impulse response function and variance decomposition. Conclusions are obtained as follows: In the long term, there is a negative correlation between energy consumption and economic growth in China, and technological progress has a significant positive effect on economic growth. In the short term, technological progress, economic growth is the Granger causality of energy consumption. Impulse response of economic growth to energy intensity is firstly positive, and then negative. The impact of technological progress on economic growth is positive, which has an inhibitory effect on energy consumption.

摘要： 本文根据我国1978-2010年的样本，建立了能源消费、技术进步与经济增长的向量自回归模型，在对它们之间的动态关系进行实证分析中运用了协整检验、格兰杰因果检验、脉冲响应函数和方差分解等计量经济方法。结果表明：从长期来看，我国能源消费状况与经济增长呈负相关关系，而技术进步对经济增长具有显著的正效应。从短期来看，技术进步、经济增长是能源消费的Granger原因，能源强度对经济增长的脉冲响应是先正向后负向，而技术进步对经济增长的冲击表现为正面效应，技术进步对能源强度的脉冲响应是负面响应，对能源消耗起到抑制作用。