›› 2016, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (2): 3-10.

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Does Cultural Consumption Promote Consumption Growth and its Structure? -a Empirical Research Based on Provincial Panel Data

  

  • Received:2015-04-20 Revised:2015-10-29 Online:2016-02-10 Published:2016-03-04

文化消费推动我国消费增长及其结构改善吗?——基于省际面板数据的实证研究

赵迪,张宗庆   

  1. 东南大学经济管理学院
  • 通讯作者: 赵迪
  • 基金资助:

    当前国际资源环境变化背景下加快我国经济发展方式转变的研究;稳定内需与促进外需的综合平衡政策研究;关联效应下的进口技术外溢及其产业部门效率水平提升研究

Abstract: Revitalization of cultural industry and rapid growth in cultural consumption has been a new feature for transition economy in China. Based on provincial panel data from year 2002 to 2013, the empirical analysis confirms that not only cultural consumption helps improving total consumption, but also significantly improves internal structure of consumption, especially with a prominent trend of consumption servitization. Due to inclusive growth in all kinds of consumption expenditure guaranteed by revenue growth, cultural consumption doesn’t cause apparent crowding-out effect on expenditure of non-durable and durable goods. Further study also confirms, with sustained release of long-term revenue growth brought by income multiplier plans, and accompanied by reduction of excess precautionary savings brought by social security system improvement, cultural consumption will promote non-durable goods and service related consumption further through crowding-in effect.

摘要: 文化产业振兴和文化消费的快速增长,正构成我国转型经济深化发展的一个新特点。结合我国2002-2013年跨省面板数据的分析证实,文化消费不仅有助于我国总消费水平提升,更显著改善我国消费的内部结构,突出表现为消费的服务化特点快速发展。在收入增长保证各类消费支出“包容性”增长之下,文化消费并没有造成对非耐用品和耐用品消费支出显著的“挤出效应”。进一步研究证实,随着我国“收入倍增”计划所带来长效收入增长机制作用的持续释放,同时伴随社会保障体制改善所带来居民预防性动机下过度储蓄的降低,文化消费通过关联作用下的“挤入效应”,将继续带动相关非耐用品和服务商品消费支出增长。

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