Abstract: The paper established Spatial Durbin Model to estimate the impact of service industry agglomeration on the quality of economic growth. The result indicates that diversified agglomeration of service industry improved the growth quality of economy, but the role of enterprise competition and specialized agglomeration was not significant. Furthermore, a robust test was processed from perspectives of spatial weight matrices and dummy variables, the result presents that the agglomeration of service industry had a positive effect on not only itself but also the adjacent regions. Enterprise competition, in contrast, played a negative role. Additionally, the east had the advantage in terms of location. Ultimately, because of the oversize of sample space, the article successively estimates the spatial spillover centering on the provincial capital and forming the distance belt by accumulation for every 20 or 10 kilometers. The estimate shows that the spatial spillover of service industrial agglomeration is positive with the exist of space boundary.

摘要： 基于2000-2013 年中国省际面板数据，采用空间杜宾模型研究了服务业集聚及其空间溢出对经济增长质量的影响。结果表明：多样性服务业集聚对本省份或邻近省份的经济增长质量作用为正；服务业内竞争对本省份的经济增长质量影响不显著，但却对邻近省份有负作用；专业化集聚对本省份和邻近地区的影响均不显著。稳健性分析从空间权重、虚拟变量两个角度展开，并对专业化和多样化集聚划分过于粗糙的问题进行改善，估计表明以上结论稳健，且东部地区在服务业集聚提升经济增长质量方面存在区位优势。针对可能存在的空间分割，以各省会为圆心、每20km或10km进行累加形成距离带，分别对空间溢出进行估算，最终表明服务业集聚的空间溢出有空间边界。