政府规制负担降低了高技术企业的生存概率吗？——基于微观企业的经验分析

财经论丛 ›› 2018, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (6): 96-103.

政府规制负担降低了高技术企业的生存概率吗？——基于微观企业的经验分析

刘瀚龙, 范黎波, 李德辉

对外经济贸易大学国际商学院,北京 100029

收稿日期:2017-06-04 出版日期:2018-06-10 发布日期:2018-06-05
作者简介:刘瀚龙(1988-),男,山东枣庄人,对外经济贸易大学国际商学院博士生;范黎波(1964-),男,山东招远人,对外经济贸易大学国际商学院教授;李德辉(1986-),男,四川成都人,对外经济贸易大学国际商学院博士生。
基金资助:
国家社会科学基金资助项目(16BGL022);对外经济贸易大学研究生科研创新基金资助项目(76160601)

Does the Government's Regulatory Burden Reduce the Survival Probability of High-tech Firms?——Empirical Analysis Based on Micro-enterprise

LIU Hanlong, FAN Libo, LI Dehui

Business School,University of International Business and Economics,Beijing 100029,China

Received:2017-06-04 Online:2018-06-10 Published:2018-06-05

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 本文基于1999~2009年中国工业企业中高技术企业微观数据,运用Cox风险比例模型和二元Probit离散模型,实证分析政府规制负担和高技术企业生存概率之间的关系。研究结果发现,政府规制负担对我国高技术企业生存概率的影响呈倒U型关系,存在最优的政府规制水平,可将企业的生存风险降到最低,政府规制负担过重或过轻都将显著降低高技术企业的生存概率;企业的出口行为、企业所有权性质和企业规模对这种影响关系具有调节作用。企业有出口行为,企业性质为国有企业且规模越大,越能降低政府规制负担对高技术企业生存概率的影响。

关键词: 政府规制负担, 高技术企业, 生存分析

Abstract: Based on the microscopic data of high-tech enterprises in China's industrial enterprises from 1999 to 2009, this paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between the government regulation burden and the survival probability of high-tech enterprises by using the Cox risk ratio model and binary Probit discrete model. The findingsare as follows: the impact of government regulation on the survival probability of high-tech enterprises in China shows a U-type relationship; there is an optimal level of government regulation, whichcanminimizethe enterprise's survival risk; and ifthe government regulation is too heavy or too light, it will significantly reduce the probability of survival of high-tech enterprises. The export behavior of enterprises, the nature of enterprise ownership and the scale of enterprises have a moderating effect in this relationship.Those enterpriseswith exportationandthe state-owned enterpriseswith a large scale arein a better position toreduce the burden of government regulation on the survival of high-tech enterprises.

Key words: Government Regulation Burden, High Technology Enterprise, Survival Analysis

中图分类号:

F270

刘瀚龙, 范黎波, 李德辉. 政府规制负担降低了高技术企业的生存概率吗？——基于微观企业的经验分析[J]. 财经论丛, 2018, 34(6): 96-103.

LIU Hanlong, FAN Libo, LI Dehui. Does the Government's Regulatory Burden Reduce the Survival Probability of High-tech Firms?——Empirical Analysis Based on Micro-enterprise[J]. , 2018, 34(6): 96-103.

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