关键词: 食品安全规制, 政策执行效果, 收益评估

Abstract: This paper takes the promulgation and implementation of China's Food Safety Act in 2009 as a policy changed point, and then evaluates the impact of the social policy based on the regression synthetic control method. There are other countries whose food safety regulation levels are similar to China's in the control group. This paper estimates the impact of the Food Safety Act in the long-term and short-term foodborne illness and food poisoning in China if it had been implemented earlier. It is found that the deterrent force of the Food Safety Act only effective in the short-term. The number of food poisoning incidents has decreased in the short term. However, both the number of food poisoning incidents and the number of foodborne illnesses have increased in the long-term. This shows that it is of urgent need to improve the long-term effectiveness of the food safety act. First of all, the technical standards of food safety should be improved. And the process of negotiation should involve multiple participants, and the interests of enterprises and consumers should be well coordinated. Lastly, the higher standards should be supplemented by high costs of law-breaking to form a long-term credible threat to food enterprises. All these measures, in combination with the improvement of individual healthy eating habits on the part of consumers, will surely enhance the long-term national health level.

Key words: Food Safety Regulation, Policy Implementation Effect, Income Assessment