产业升级与工作转换——对转型期人力资本匹配问题的探究

财经论丛 ›› 2020, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (6): 3-11.

• 劳动经济 • 下一篇

产业升级与工作转换——对转型期人力资本匹配问题的探究

杨芸,肖琬君

南开大学经济学院,天津 300071

收稿日期:2019-07-31 出版日期:2020-06-10 发布日期:2020-06-16
作者简介:杨芸(1990-),女,湖南邵阳人,南开大学经济学院博士生;肖琬君(1989-),女,湖北十堰人,南开大学经济学院博士生。
基金资助:
国家社会科学基金重大项目(17ZDA067)

Industrial Upgrading and Job Changes ——Research on the Matching of Human Capital in the Transition Period

YANG Yun,XIAO Wanjun

School of Economics,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,China

Received:2019-07-31 Online:2020-06-10 Published:2020-06-16

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 本文利用CGSS数据研究产业升级对劳动力工作转换的影响,发现产业升级显著降低劳动力工作转换的次数,且这种影响存在滞后性。产业升级主要降低劳动力主动转换工作的次数,但不影响被动转换工作的次数,说明产业升级对工作流动的影响主要通过改变劳动力对未来就业的预期,而非对就业市场的直接冲击造成的结构性失业。进一步地,该影响主要体现在人力资本水平较低的劳动力身上,并随着就业市场规模及自由度的变化而对工作转换产生差异化的影响。本文的研究揭示产业升级对就业市场可能的负面影响及其传导途径,为合理规划产业升级提供有益启示和政策依据。

关键词: 产业升级, 工作转换, 人力资本, 就业匹配

Abstract: This paper uses CGSS data to study the impact of the industrial upgrading on the job mobility. The industrial upgrading has significantly reduced the number of job changes, and this effect has a certain lag. The industrial upgrading mainly reduces the frequency of resigning instead of being fired. This shows that the impact of the industrial upgrading on the job mobility is mainly achieved by changing the expectations of the labor force for future employment, rather than the structural unemployment caused by the direct impact of industrial upgrading on the job market. Furthermore, this paper finds that this impact of the industrial upgrading is mainly reflected in the labor force with low-level human capital, and it will have a differentiated impact on job changes with the different size of the employment market and the freedom of the employment market. This study reveals the possible negative impacts of the industrial upgrading on the job market and its transmission mechanism, and provides inspiration and policy basis for rational planning of the industrial upgrading.

Key words: Industrial Upgrading, Job Changes, Human Capital, Job Matching

中图分类号:

F241.21

杨芸,肖琬君. 产业升级与工作转换——对转型期人力资本匹配问题的探究[J]. 财经论丛, 2020, 36(6): 3-11.

YANG Yun,XIAO Wanjun. Industrial Upgrading and Job Changes ——Research on the Matching of Human Capital in the Transition Period[J]. , 2020, 36(6): 3-11.

参考文献

[1] 邵敏,武鹏.出口贸易、人力资本与农民工的就业稳定性——兼议我国产业和贸易的升级[J]. 管理世界,2019,(3):99-113.
[2] Knight J.,Yueh L. Job Mobility of Residents and Migrants in Urban China[J]. Journal of Comparative Economics,2004,32(4):637-660.
[3] 邢春冰.换工作对收入水平和收入增长的影响[J]. 南方经济,2008,(11):70-80.
[4] Schmelzer P. The Consequences of Job Mobility for Future Earnings in Early Working Life in Germany-placing Indirect and Direct Job Mobility into Institutional Context[J]. European Sociological Review,2012,28(1):82-95.
[5] Ham M.V.,Mulder C.H.,Hooimeijer P. Spatial Flexibility in Job Mobility: Macro-level Opportunities and Micro-level Restrictions[J]. Environment & Planning A,2008,33(5):921-940.
[6] Sousa-Poza A.,Henneberger F. Analyzing Job Mobility with Job Turnover Intentions: An International Comparative Study[J]. Journal of Economic Issues,2004,38(1):113-137.
[7] Ng T.,Sorensen K.,Eby L.,et al. Determinants of Job Mobility: A Theoretical Integration and Extension[J]. Journal of Occupational & Organizational Psychology,2007,80(3):363-386.
[8] 张春泥.农民工为何频繁变换工作户籍制度下农民工的工作流动研究[J]. 社会,2011,(6):153-177.
[9] 严善平.城市劳动力市场中的人员流动及其决定机制——兼析大城市的新二元结构[J]. 管理世界,2006,(8):8-17.
[10] Benedikt H. Specific Human Capital and Wait Unemployment[J]. Journal of Labor Economics,2019, 37(2):467-508.
[11] Yuxiao W. Labor Market Segmentation,Job Mobility and the Two-track Model of Chinese Urban Workers’ Acquisition of Economic Status[J]. Social Sciences in China,2011,32(3):74-86.
[12] Helsley,Robert W.,William C.Strange. Matching and Agglomeration Economies in a System of Cities[J]. Regional Science and Urban Economics,1990,20(2):189-212.
[13] Wheeler C.H. Local Market Scale and the Pattern of Job Changes among Young Men[J]. Regional Science and Urban Economics,2008,38(2):101-118.
[14] 周茂,陆毅,符大海.贸易自由化与中国产业升级:事实与机制[J]. 世界经济,2016,(10):78-102.
[15] 周茂,陆毅,李雨浓.地区产业升级与劳动收入份额:基于合成工具变量的估计[J]. 经济研究,2018,(11):134-149.
[16] 刘宏,李述晟.FDI对我国经济增长、就业影响研究——基于VAR模型[J]. 国际贸易问题,2013,(4):105-114.
[17] 周申,何冰.贸易自由化对中国非正规就业的地区效应及动态影响——基于微观数据的经验研究[J]. 国际贸易问题,2017,(11):15-26.

产业升级与工作转换——对转型期人力资本匹配问题的探究

Industrial Upgrading and Job Changes ——Research on the Matching of Human Capital in the Transition Period

PDF

可视化

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

参考文献

相关文章 6

编辑推荐

Metrics

[1]	马雨飞, 周建, 原东良. 求同抑或寻异:前任继任CEO人力资本差异对企业战略变革的影响研究[J]. 财经论丛, 2022, 38(12): 81-92.
[2]	刘杰. 个人所得税税负抑制了科技创新吗？——基于人力资本视角的实证研究[J]. 财经论丛, 2022, 38(10): 25-37.
[3]	朱铭来, 乔丽丽. 家庭人力资本投资与商业保险保障[J]. 财经论丛, 2019, 35(5): 42-52.
[4]	卢飞, 刘明辉. 广义人口红利、制造业结构调整与经济增长——基于空间杜宾模型及面板分位数的实证分析[J]. 财经论丛, 2018, 34(1): 12-20.
[5]	孙正. 税收增长之谜:基于产业结构升级演进的视角[J]. 财经论丛, 2017, 33(7): 39-48.
[6]	胡杰. 债务期限结构、管理层防御效应与上市公司高管薪酬水平[J]. 财经论丛, 2014, 30(2): 64-71.