财经论丛 ›› 2026, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (1): 5-14.

• 深入学习党的二十届四中全会精神专题 •    下一篇

新发展阶段健全宏观经济治理体系:理论内涵、现实挑战与完善路径

张军1, 邓燕飞2   

  1. 1.复旦大学经济学院,上海 200433;
    2.浙江财经大学经济学院,浙江 杭州 310018
  • 收稿日期:2025-10-31 发布日期:2026-01-11
  • 通讯作者: 邓燕飞(1983—),男,江西吉安人,浙江财经大学经济学院副教授
  • 作者简介:张军(1963—),男,安徽亳州人,复旦大学经济学院教授,国家文科一级教授,教育部“长江学者奖励计划”特聘教授
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金重大项目(24&ZD043);教育部“构建自主知识体系”重大专项(2023JZDZ018);浙江省哲学社会科学规划重点项目(24NDJC17Z)

Establishing a Sound Macroeconomic Governance System in the New Development Stage: Theoretical Connotations,Practical Challenges,and Improvement Paths

ZHANG Jun1, DENG Yanfei2   

  1. 1. School of Economics,Fudan University,Shanghai 200433, China;
    2. School of Economics,Zhejiang University of Finance and Economics,Hangzhou 310018, China
  • Received:2025-10-31 Published:2026-01-11

摘要: 本文系统阐述从“宏观调控”到“宏观经济治理”的范式转变及其理论内涵,剖析新发展阶段宏观经济运行的“弱平衡”等六大复杂性特征,揭示传统凯恩斯主义政策框架在新形势下的局限性,形成一个包含现代化中央银行制度、超越常规的政策工具、多元政策工具协同及宏观经济预期管理等四大支柱的宏观经济治理体系分析框架。最后,结合党的二十届四中全会关于健全宏观经济治理体系的战略部署,提出以国家战略规划为导向、深化财税金融体制改革、强化政策一致性评估和预期管理的实践路径,旨在为构建中国特色、顺应新发展阶段要求的宏观经济治理体系提供理论方向和政策参考。

关键词: 新发展阶段, 宏观经济治理, 多元政策工具, 政策协同, 预期管理

Abstract: This paper systematically elucidates the paradigm shift from “macro-control” to “macroeconomic governance” and its theoretical implications. It analyzes six complex characteristics of macroeconomic operations in the new development stage, such as “weak balance”, and reveals the limitations of the traditional Keynesian policy framework under new circumstances. The study constructs an analytical framework for a macroeconomic governance system comprising four pillars: a modern central banking system, unconventional policy tools, coordination of diverse policy instruments, and macroeconomic expectation management. Finally, in alignment with the strategic deployment of the fourth plenary session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China on improving the macroeconomic governance system, it proposes a practical pathway guided by national strategic planning. This includes deepening reforms in the fiscal, tax, and financial systems, strengthening policy consistency evaluation, and enhancing expectation management. The aim is to provide theoretical direction and policy references for building a macroeconomic governance system with Chinese characteristics that meets the demands of the new development stage.

Key words: New Development Stage, Macroeconomic Governance, Diverse Policy Tools, Policy Coordination, Expectation Management

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