财经论丛 ›› 2025, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (8): 28-38.

• 产业经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

数字经贸规则演化与重构中的成员国福利效应研究

张炜1, 刘晓鹏1, 王乃合2   

  1. 1.天津商业大学经济学院,天津 300134;
    2.南开大学经济学院,天津 300134
  • 收稿日期:2025-01-23 出版日期:2025-08-10 发布日期:2025-08-07
  • 作者简介:张炜(1984—),女,河北石家庄人,天津商业大学经济学院副教授;刘晓鹏(2000—),女,河北邯郸人,天津商业大学经济学院硕士生;王乃合(1968—),男,河南焦作人,南开大学经济学院副教授。
  • 基金资助:
    全国教育科学规划教育部重点课题(DIA220388)

Research on the Welfare Effects of Member States in the Evolution and Reconstruction of Digital Economic and Trade Rules

ZHANG Wei1, LIU Xiaopeng1, WANG Naihe2   

  1. 1. School of Economics, Tianjin University of Commerce, Tianjin 300134, China;
    2. School of Economics, Nankai University, Tianjin 300134, China
  • Received:2025-01-23 Online:2025-08-10 Published:2025-08-07

摘要: 本文基于区域经贸协定,构建涵盖电子商务与数字贸易、数据流动、新数据经济、条款交叉问题及知识产权等五大类议题的57个子领域的规则体系框架,运用双重和三重差分模型实证检验2007—2022年70个国家或地区的福利效应差异。结果显示:协定成员国的福利水平得到显著提高,凸显“规则红利”效应;规则深度呈现“亚太模板>美式模板>欧式模板”的阶梯特征,不同深度的协定对成员国福利水平的促进效果存在异质性,高深度协定使其成员国的福利增幅达到8.1%;亚太模板在新经济领域中的前瞻性作用日益凸显。面对国际局势变动等外部冲击,我国应积极推动数字经贸规则深化,塑造多元数字合作网络打破西方的“规则围堵”,以制度型开放赋能数字经贸高质量发展,构建福利跃升的数字经贸规则新格局。

关键词: 数字经贸规则重构, 数字经贸规则深度, 福利水平, 规则红利

Abstract: The combination of trade protectionism and the digital revolution has promoted the innovation of the global system, accelerated the reconstruction of the digital governance framework, and digital economic and trade rules have become the core elements to break through the barriers of traditional rules and realize the leap of welfare. Based on the regional economic and trade agreements, this paper constructs a rule system framework covering five categories of topics and 57 sub fields, including e-commerce and digital trade, data flow, new data economy, cross cutting issues and intellectual property rights. This paper empirically tests the welfare effect differences of 70 economies from 2007 to 2022 by using double and triple difference model. The results show that the welfare utility level of the agreement member states has significantly improved, highlighting the “rule dividend”; the depth of rules presents the ladder characteristics of “Asia Pacific template>American template>European template”. The promotion of member states' welfare by different depth agreements is heterogeneous, and the high depth agreements increase their welfare by 8.1%. The Asia Pacific template is increasingly forward-looking in the new economic field. In the face of external shocks such as changes in the international situation, China should actively promote the deepening of digital economic and trade rules and shape a diversified digital cooperation network to break the “rule containment” of the United States and the west, enable the high-quality development of digital economy and trade with institutional openness, and build a new pattern of digital economic and trade rules with rising welfare.

Key words: Reconstruction of Digital Economic and Trade Rules, Depth of Digital Trade Rules, Welfare Level, Rule Dividend

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