Abstract: As Chinese traditional industry that has an advantage at international market, textile industry plays an important role on Chinese economic growth. It is significant to monitor the economic situation of textile industry and build up an effective early-warning system. The existing research about prosperity evaluation and early-warning system of textile industry is blank. This paper propose a series of indicators to evaluate prosperity of Zhejiang textile industry, and build up corresponding early-warning system.

摘要： 纺织业作为我国的传统优势行业，在国民经济发展中占有重要的地位，因此对纺织行业运行状况进行实时监测并建立有效的预警体系具有十分重要的现实意义。但既有研究对纺织业的景气评价尚无提及，纺织业的预警体系尚未建立。本文从产业链的视角构建纺织业景气评价指标体系和预警系统，并以浙江省纺织业为例，对其进行综合预警。